Morgan Stanley India Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

IIF Fund  USD 24.33  0.09  0.37%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.39, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Morgan Stanley's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Morgan Stanley is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Morgan Stanley India has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. Despite nearly stable forward indicators, Morgan Stanley is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
...more
1
IIF to Sell Four Land-Lease Assets, Invest in Joint Fund With Jinushi -
12/03/2025
2
Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc. To Go Ex-Dividend On December 19th, 2025 With 1.98517 USD Dividend Per Share -
12/09/2025
3
Karpus Management Inc. Cuts Holdings in Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc. IIF - MarketBeat
12/12/2025
4
Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers - Stock Traders Daily
12/31/2025
5
Saba Capital sells Morgan Stanley India shares for 84,142 - Investing.com
01/08/2026
6
Saba capital sells Morgan Stanley India shares for 720k - Investing.com
01/15/2026
7
Precision Trading with Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund Inc. Risk Zones - Stock Traders Daily
02/03/2026
  

Morgan Stanley Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,496  in Morgan Stanley India on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (63.00) from holding Morgan Stanley India or give up 2.52% of portfolio value over 90 days. Morgan Stanley India is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 0.825% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 7% of funds are less volatile than Morgan, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Morgan Stanley is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Morgan Stanley Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
24.33
Please note that Morgan Stanley's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Morgan Stanley India secures a last-minute Real Value of $24.34 per share. The latest price of the fund is $24.33. We determine the value of Morgan Stanley India from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend locking in undervalued funds and disposing overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
The fair value of the Morgan fund is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Morgan Stanley India. Since Morgan Stanley is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Morgan Fund. However, Morgan Stanley's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  24.33 Real  24.34 Hype  24.33
The real value of Morgan Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Morgan Stanley India Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Morgan Stanley's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Morgan Stanley's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
24.34
Real Value
25.17
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Morgan Stanley India helps investors to forecast how Morgan fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Morgan Stanley more accurately as focusing exclusively on Morgan Stanley's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5024.3325.16
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Morgan Stanley India extending back to February 18, 1994. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Morgan Stanley stands at 24.33, as last reported on the 9th of February, with the highest price reaching 24.38 and the lowest price hitting 24.25 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Morgan Stanley Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Morgan Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.33 90 days 24.33 
about 71.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Morgan Stanley to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.07 (This Morgan Stanley India probability density function shows the probability of Morgan Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Morgan Stanley has a beta of 0.39. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Morgan Stanley average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Morgan Stanley India will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Morgan Stanley India has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Morgan Stanley Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Morgan Stanley

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Morgan Stanley India. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5024.3325.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5124.3425.17
Details

Morgan Stanley Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Morgan Stanley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Morgan Stanley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Morgan Stanley India, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Morgan Stanley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Morgan Stanley Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Morgan Stanley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Morgan Stanley India can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Morgan Stanley India generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Precision Trading with Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund Inc. Risk Zones - Stock Traders Daily

Morgan Stanley Fundamentals Growth

Morgan Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Morgan Stanley, and Morgan Stanley fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Morgan Fund performance.

About Morgan Stanley Performance

By analyzing Morgan Stanley's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Morgan Stanley's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Morgan Stanley has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Morgan Stanley has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc. is a closed ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc. The fund is co-managed by Morgan Stanley Investment Management Company. It invests in the public equity markets of India. The fund invests in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the U.S. dollar adjusted BSE National Index. Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc. was formed on December 22, 1993 and is domiciled in the United States.

Things to note about Morgan Stanley India performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Morgan Stanley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Morgan Stanley India help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Morgan Stanley India generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Precision Trading with Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund Inc. Risk Zones - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Morgan Stanley's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Morgan Stanley's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Morgan Stanley's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Morgan Stanley's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Morgan Stanley's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Morgan Stanley's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Morgan Stanley's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Morgan Stanley's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Morgan Stanley's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Morgan Stanley's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Morgan Stanley's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Morgan Fund

Morgan Stanley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morgan Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morgan with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Stanley security.
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